Sea ice 2019 April

Some growth this year after the onset of melt season - but overall the decline in extent continues as normal (see second plot).

Data from  https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent

Some changes to plots from previous versions.

2019 Nenana - River Ice breakup

The Nenana Ice Classic for 2019  ended when the Tanana river ice broke up on 14th April 2019 at 12:21 AM.

Two days before breakup:

Plots below assume AST throughout the record.

A large drop this year (earlier breakup) but is within the bounds of noise in this very noisy system. It does follow the downward trend from the 1970s.

Arctic Sea ice - December

A December update on Arctic Sea Ice as reported by JAXA.

https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent

Some wild swings especially in last few days (problem with measurement??)
The data now includes all years available from JAXA (1979 to present)

Straight Talking

To the point, and brave!

Latest Consumer prices index: fuel components, monthly figures

Latest figures from UK gov. Show consumer prices index fuel components up to October 2018

There is a 20% price hike in 2016/17 - is this due to green taxes or profiteering?

End of June Arctic Sea Ice

Latest figure from Jaxa

Loss has slowed over the last month

Nenana Ice Classic over for 2018

The clock on the watchtower was stopped at 13:18 on 1st May 2018 by the river ice moving.
the following plots show 3 versions of the same data. The Time from vernal equinox is probably most significant as this relates to solar position and not artificial human time.
Information here .

Going



 

gone

Asimov - Environmental and Climate Change

Thoughts from January 1989

Part of full lecture (see below) dealing with Global Warming

Arctic Sea Ice Melting Season Over

Season is now over and nothing exceptional

I See No Ships (hurricanes)

Why is everyone trying to minimise the suffering of many thousands of people by claiming there has been a long period of no hurricanes in the Atlantic (adding to hit mainland US). There has been no real lull in the number of hurricanes:
e.g from Roy Spencer:
---------------------------------------
The 11-Year Major Hurricane Drought: Much More Unusual than Two Cat 4 Strikes

September 21st, 2017 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

Weather.com published an article noting that the two Cat 4 hurricane strikes this year (Harvey and Irma) is a new record. Here’s a nice graphic they used showing both storms at landfall...

------------------------------------

Yet from Wiki there are these recorded cat 4 and 5 Atlantic hurricanes:

2001	Iris	October 89	145 mph (230 km/h)	948 hPa
2001	Michelle	November 34	140 mph (220 km/h)	933 hPa
2002	Lili	October 23	145 mph (230 km/h)	938 hPa
2003	Fabian	August 31-September 5	145 mph (230 km/h)	939 hPa
2003	Isabel	September 11-14,	165 mph (270 km/h)	915 hPa
2004	Charley	August 13	150 mph (240 km/h)	941 hPa
2004	Frances	August 28-September 2	145 mph (230 km/h)	935 hPa
2004	Karl	September 20-21	145 mph (230 km/h)	938 hPa
2004	Ivan	September 9-14	165 mph (270 km/h)	910 hPa
2005	Dennis	July 810	150 mph (240 km/h)	930 hPa
2005	Emily	July 16,	160 mph (260 km/h)	929 hPa
2005	Katrina	August 2829	175 mph (280 km/h)	902 hPa
2005	Rita	September 21-22,	180 mph (285 km/h)	895 hPa
2005	Wilma	October 19,	185 mph (295 km/h)	882 hPa
2007	Dean	August 18-21,	175 mph (280 km/h)	905 hPa
2007	Felix	September 34,	175 mph (280 km/h)	929 hPa
2008	Gustav	August 30-31	155 mph (250 km/h)	941 hPa
2008	Ike	September 48	145 mph (230 km/h)	935 hPa
2008	Omar	October 16	130 mph (215 km/h)	958 hPa
2008	Paloma	November 8	145 mph (230 km/h)	944 hPa
2009	Bill	August 19-20	130 mph (215 km/h)	943 hPa
2010	Danielle	August 27	130 mph (215 km/h)	942 hPa
2010	Earl	August 30-September 2	145 mph (230 km/h)	927 hPa
2010	Igor	September 12-17	155 mph (250 km/h)	924 hPa
2010	Julia	September 15	140 mph (220 km/h)	948 hPa
2011	Katia	September 6	140 mph (220 km/h)	942 hPa)
2011	Ophelia	October 2	140 mph (220 km/h)	940 hPa
2014	Gonzalo	October 15-17	145 mph (230 km/h)	940 hPa
2015	Joaquin	October 13	155 mph (250 km/h)	931 hPa
2016	Nicole	October 12-13	140 mph (220 km/h)	950 hPa)
2016	Matthew	October 1,	165 mph (270 km/h)	934 hPa
2017	Harvey	August 25-26	130 mph (215 km/h)	938 hPa
2017	Jose	September 8-10	155 mph (250 km/h)	938 hPa
2017	Irma	September 59,	185 mph (295 km/h)	914 hPa
2017	Maria	September 18-20,	175 mph (280 km/h)	908 hPa

You have to be blind in more than one eye to miss these

What Roy Spencer Thinks of Europe

Just seen an exchange of posts on Spencer's Blog

stavro mueller says:

June 2, 2017 at 6:18 AM

Salvatore Del Prete says: June 2, 2017 at 5:50 AM
Trump you did the right thing ! Excellent president the best we have ever had.
————
Really?
few other leaders have been made the ultimate laughing stock of the rest of the world.
Even Bush and Regan were more respected

Reply

• Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. says:

  June 2, 2017 at 8:43 AM

  I don’t care if we are a laughingstock to a bunch of countries whose claim to fame is artists and musicians who died hundreds of years ago. Some of us laugh at you, too. Your countries are slowly dying, culturally and economically.
  Good luck.

phew!

Nenana Ice Classic is over for 2017

The Nenana Ice classic is a non-profit corporation formed by the residents of Nenana, Alaska, for the purpose of conducting an annual ice pool contest under special statutory authority enacted the first state legislature in 1960. The Association was incorporated by the State of Alaska in December 1972. Previously it had operated as an unincorporated association.

The idea is to guess the exact time of the ice break-up on the nenana river
This contest has been running since 1917 and consequently gives an idea of thermal conditions on the river over time. Unless dynamite is used(!) the time of breakup is difficult to contest and calling "Fraud" even more contentious.

Three plots are given 2 timed from the start of the year and one from the vernal equinox (the latter uses a fixed point in solar time).

Looks like the break up occurred at a time predicted by the slope of the average

Arctic Sea Ice to December 2016

First plot shows rate of change per day - Note wild fluctuations from October

Second plot show Extent on day of year - A few have line fits which show that the extent reduction is a reasonable fit to a straight line
The final plot shows the usual plus a rate of change per year.

Yet more Hyped up FOI'd Emails - George Mason University

Such invalid posts on blogs and the CEI site:

CEI

National Campaign led by AG’s to Use RICO Against ‘Climate Skeptics’ will be Revealed in Released E-mails

GWPF

RICO-20 Campaign Against Sceptical Climate Scientists Revealed In Emails

WUWT

BREAKING: CEI Defeats RICO-20 Ringleader Shukla In FOIA Lawsuit – Emails to be are made public

First a look at wuwt:

Watts comment in the editorial (in red)

And from one of his minions (not towing the line)

So what is the correct thing to do go private and "circumvent" foi???

What's it all about.

Well it seems to be about supporting a RICO case against corporations (in a similar attack made on tobacco firms who initially denied that nicotine was addictive and claimed tobacco smoking was not harmful)

So where does an attack on climate change dissenters come into this? Its certainly not obvious to me! What it looks like is a way to get corporations to come clean about what they know about climate change and fossil fuels, and to do it under oath facing a judge.

What do those people supporting the RICO case say - which dissenting climate scientists are they trying to muzzle. Let's see an email:

How have some of these dissenters who have NOT been attacked respond:

Strange that it is more like the dissenters are trying to muzzle the  RICO 20 right to free speech!

So how is this being taken by the public:

And the hate gets so bad that Prof Jagadish Shukla begins to think he should retract the letter but is convinced he should let it roll:

What is it all about?

The letter in question does not suggest criminalising climate change dissenters.

RICO is a fact finding rather than criminal investigation.

Still if you shout falsehoods loudly enough on the web your words will be heard by millions and repeated as true facts -

RULE BY THE SIZE OF YOUR WEB BLOG READERSHIP not by Democracy.

Nenana Ice Break Up Occurred 2016-04-24 15:39:00

The Annual Nenana Ice Classic is Over for Another Year

The Tanana River officially broke up on 2016-04-24 at  15:39:00

http://www.nenanaakiceclassic.com/

 2 plots as usual
one timed from start of year

this one timed from vernal equinox

Still declining!