Results are in for this year - The Tanana River officially broke up and the ice moved interrupting the timer on 4th May 2011 at 16:24. This is later than GW would predict!
Changing plot to assume that last few years are a recovery!
[ps. watts refuses to post (or read?) items from me. Consequetly the greatest scientific blog on the web still shows that he cannot subtract 2 dates to give the breakup in days fromstart of the year. -
Here’s the context of the date in comparison with all of the others since 1917. (I calculated this to be day 124.683 in 2011, please check)
Actual count is 123.6833
Never mind no one notices anyway - what watts says is the truth even if wrong! CO2 snow anyone! (see this post)]
Of all places Alaska didnt warm since more than 30 years.
ReplyDeleteHave a look at these:
Alaska
http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/Climate/Location/TimeSeries/index.html
http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/ClimTrends/Change/graphics/temp_dep49-09_C (no warming since 1978/1981)
Greenland:
Extending Greenland temperature records into the late eighteenth century
B. M. Vinther,1 K. K. Andersen,1 P. D. Jones,2 K. R. Briffa,2 and J. Cappelen3
Received 24 October 2005; revised 11 January 2006; accepted 28 February 2006; published 6 June 2006.
"the warmest year in the extended Greenland temperature
record is 1941, while the 1930s and 1940s are the
warmest decades."
Norway
http://eklima.met.no/metno/trend/TAMA_G0_0_1000_NO.jpg (!)
Greenland (and Danmark)
http://www.dmi.dk/dmi/index/klima/klimaet_indtil_nu/temperaturen_i_groenland.htm
Sweden
http://www.smhi.se/klimatdata/meteorologi/temperatur/1.2430 (sinificant warming since 1990?)
Finland
http://i55.tinypic.com/1174sb7.jpg
http://en.ilmatieteenlaitos.fi/normal-period-1971-2000 (significant warming since 1990?)
Iceland
http://en.vedur.is/climatology/clim/nr/1213 (1930-1940)
England (CET)
http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/ (significant warming since 1989?)
http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/ssn_HadCET_mean.txt (all wnters coler than 1989)
Netherlands
http://www.knmi.nl/klimatologie/lijsten/jaar_xtr.html (year ranking; significant warming since 1990?)
http://www.knmi.nl/klimatologie/lijsten/winter_xtr.html (winter ranking; all winters colder than 1990 exept 2007)
Spain
http://www.aemet.es/documentos/es/elclima/datos_climat/resumenes_climat/anuales/res_anual_clim_2010.pdf
(significant warming since 1990?)
France
http://www.onerc.org/category/classification-indicateurs/atmosphere-et-climat (signifgicant warming since 1990?)
Belgium
http://www.meteo.be/meteo/view/fr/5321173-2010.html
`
Italia
http://www.climatemonitor.it/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/ispraVSNOAA.jpg
Portugal
http://www.meteo.pt/resources.www/docs/im.publicacoes/edicoes.online/20110204/PdTzSQuJAvrrwvtcdtee/cli_20100101_20101231_pcl_aa_co_pt.pdf
Canada
http://ec.gc.ca/adsc-cmda/default.asp?lang=En&n=77842065-1 (big part has no warming since 1987, rest warming starts in 1998 and no warming since)
New Zealand
http://www.niwa.co.nz/our-science/climate/news/all/7-station-series-review (no warming since begin 70)
Australia
http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/climate/change/timeseries.cgi (much of Australia no warming since 1988)
Antarctic
http://junksciencearchive.com/MSU_Temps/RSSSPol.html (no warming exept for the peninsula)